Shielded maps your company's exposure to geopolitical events—wars, sanctions, tariffs, infrastructure disruptions—onto prediction market probabilities and generates specific hedging recommendations. See your risk in dollars, not guesswork.
Built on data from
Geopolitical events moved $4.2 trillion in market value last year. Most enterprises had no hedging in place. Your board expects better.
These events can wipe out 10–30% of annual revenue overnight.
Prediction markets now make it possible to quantify and hedge them.
market value moved by geopolitical events in 2024
of Fortune 500 have no systematic geopolitical hedge
more frequent than a decade ago
from ticker to full risk profile
Upload financials, enter a stock ticker, or chat with our AI analyst. We build your geopolitical exposure graph in under two minutes — every supply chain node, revenue region, and commodity dependency.
We match your exposure graph to real-time prediction market events from Kalshi and Polymarket. See exactly which geopolitical scenarios threaten your P&L, updated every 5 minutes.
Receive specific, actionable hedging strategies — which contracts to buy, how many, and the cost-benefit tradeoff. Recommendations are reviewed by our advisory team before delivery.
Everything you need to monitor, quantify, and hedge geopolitical exposure — in one dashboard.
Total Exposure
$284M
-$70M base case
Events Tracked
24
3 above threshold
Hedge Coverage
73%
+12% this month
Tail Risk (95th)
-$280M
across 4 factors
Portfolio Exposure Over Time
Top Events
Real-time probability tracking from CFTC-regulated markets
Your exposure quantified in dollars — base case and tail risk
One-click hedge recommendations with cost-benefit analysis
See exactly how geopolitical events impact your bottom line — probability-weighted base case and tail risk scenarios, updated in real time.
Energy Costs
Hormuz Closure, Red Sea Disruption
Supply Chain
Taiwan Crisis, Suez Blockade
Trade Policy
US-China Tariffs, EU Carbon Tax
Revenue Impact
Regional Recession, Sanctions
Total Portfolio
Whether you're quantifying exposure for the board, optimizing treasury operations, or building enterprise risk frameworks — Shielded speaks your language.
Chief Financial Officer
See portfolio-level geopolitical exposure in dollars. Present board-ready risk reports with probability-weighted scenarios. Know exactly what’s hedged and what isn’t.
See CFO Use CaseTreasurer
Get specific hedging recommendations with cost-benefit analysis. Compare prediction market contracts to traditional instruments. Execute with confidence.
See Treasurer Use CaseHead of Risk
Map your entire supply chain to geopolitical events. Get alerts when probabilities cross your thresholds. Replace quarterly risk reports with real-time monitoring.
See Risk Use CaseWe reduced unhedged geopolitical exposure by 60% in Q1. For the first time, our board has real-time visibility into how events like Hormuz or Taiwan would impact our bottom line.
CFO, Fortune 500 Shipping & Logistics
“Shielded turned a 3-week quarterly risk assessment into something our treasury team runs in 15 minutes. The prediction market integration is genuinely novel.”
Head of Risk, Global Commodities Trader
“The exposure graph alone justified the platform. We discovered $45M in unhedged concentration risk we didn’t know we had.”
Treasurer, Mid-Cap Energy Company
Book a personalized demo with our team. We'll map your company's risk profile live and show you exactly what Shielded can do for your portfolio.
30-minute personalized walkthrough · No commitment required